Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, February 8
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (4-0) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Monday, February 8 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 51% chance to win and projects a 117-116 score (Trail Blazers – Grizzlies), about 232 total points. This season, the Grizzlies are 1-0 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-0 for the Grizzlies and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Grizzlies W4, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers) and Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Grizzlies 116 – 117 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers will be without Chris Youngblood or Shaedon Sharpe. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-1.8 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORMEM
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsGrizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #229.8pts / gameTy JeromeG · #26.5assists
Cameron BoozerF · #2710.5reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129MEM
116-98W
123-103W111-108W123-112W110-105Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
MEM
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 4-0 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 115.2 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 117.3 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | W4 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 4-0 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 25-57 (-6.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.