Clippers vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Sunday, February 7
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (3-2) host the LA Clippers (1-3) on Sunday, February 7 at 4:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Clippers a 56% chance to win and projects a 112-110 score (Clippers – Mavericks), about 223 total points. This season, the Mavericks are 1-1 at home and the Clippers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Mavericks and 1-3 for the Clippers (current streaks: Mavericks W2, Clippers L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Mavericks played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers), Bradley Beal (Clippers), Jordan Miller (Clippers) and Tarik Biberovic (Mavericks)…. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 110 – 112 Clippers, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Mavericks will be without Tarik Biberovic or Santi Aldama (and 2 others). The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACDAL
Players to watch
Clippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3225.2pts / gameCooper FlaggF · #326.8assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #257.8reboundsRecent form
LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87DAL
128-110W
121-105L
122-106W
113-109W120-96Head-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
LAC
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| LAC | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 3-2 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 114.1 |
| 111.5 | Points allowed / game | 117.4 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.8 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 42-40 (+1.1) | Last season | 26-56 (-5.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.