Pelicans vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, February 4
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (2-3) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) on Thursday, February 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Pelicans a 55% chance to win and projects a 118-116 score (Pelicans – Wizards), about 233 total points. This season, the Wizards are 1-1 at home and the Pelicans are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for the Wizards and 0-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Wizards L2, Pelicans L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Dejounte Murray (Pelicans), Jordan Poole (Pelicans), Yves Missi (Pelicans), Justin Champagnie (Wizards), Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards) and Jamir Watkins (Wizards). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 116 – 118 Pelicans, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Wizards will be without Justin Champagnie or Tristan Vukcevic (and 1 other). The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray or Jordan Poole (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOWSH
Players to watch
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121.8pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56.0assists
Derik QueenC · #229.2reboundsWizards
Anthony DavisF · #2321.8pts / game
Trae YoungG · #310.4assistsAnthony DavisF · #238.4reboundsRecent form
NO
107-106L
123-120L
120-119L
141-135 OTL104-91WSH
128-116L
112-102W
124-120L
110-103L
121-111
NOSecond opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| NO | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 2-3 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 113.1 |
| 120.5 | Points allowed / game | 122.2 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.7 |
| L4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 0-4 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 17-65 (-12.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.