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Knicks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 1

Tue, Dec 1 · 8:00 PM ETUnited Center · NBC
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-3 · away
Projected score
121-110
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-4 · home
80% win NYwin CHI 20%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin10.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the New York Knicks (2-3) on Tuesday, December 1 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Knicks a 80% chance to win and projects a 121-110 score (Knicks – Bulls), about 231 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Knicks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 2-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Bulls L3, Knicks W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 22% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Bulls 110 – 121 Knicks, a margin of about 10.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -7.2 / NY +3.8 per game
-11.0
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
InjuriesCHI: 2 out, 2 questionable · NY: 1 out, 0 questionable
-1.6
Expected marginfor Bulls
-10.3

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Knicks win by 10+
51%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCHI
114.5
Points scored / game
115.6
110.0
Points allowed / game
124.1
42.2 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
35.9 %
3-point %
27.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.8
Assists / game
24.4
7.2
Steals / game
9.0
4.4
Blocks / game
4.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Players to watch

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8rebounds
Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists
Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
LPHI106-100LBOS107-103LORL111-102WDET111-97WCHI133-127
CHI
LTOR135-92WMIL132-125LWSH124-120LBOS134-99LNY133-127

Head-to-head

NY lead 1-0 this season.

Oct 28NY133 - 127CHINov 4CHIupcomingNYDec 1NYthis gameCHI

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog
NY 80% · CHI 20%
ESPN BPI
NY 77% · CHI 23%

✓ Both models pick the same favorite.

Team comparison

NYCHI
2-3Record1-4
114.5Points scored / game115.6
110.0Points allowed / game124.1
+3.8Adjusted margin / game-7.2
W2Current streakL3
2-3Last 10 games1-4
1-1 roadHome / road record0-2 home
53-29 (+6.3)Last season31-51 (-5.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

Jose Alvarado GOut

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut
Nic Claxton COut
Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day
Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.