Knicks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28
At a glance
The Chicago Bulls (1-3) host the New York Knicks (1-3) on Wednesday, October 28 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 133 – Bulls 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 0-1 at home and the Knicks are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Bulls and 1-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Bulls L2, Knicks W1).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 111 – 118 Knicks, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYCHI
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1138pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #139assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213reboundsBulls
Norman PowellG · #2430pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #311assists
Jalen SmithF · #2511reboundsRecent form
NYCHI
NY
Team comparison
| NY | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 108.9 | Points allowed / game | 123.5 |
| +3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 53-29 (+6.3) | Last season | 31-51 (-5.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Bulls
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.