Raptors vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, November 2
At a glance
The LA Clippers (1-3) host the Toronto Raptors (3-1) on Monday, November 2 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Raptors a 66% chance to win and projects a 113-108 score (Raptors – Clippers), about 220 total points. This season, the Clippers are 1-1 at home and the Raptors are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Clippers and 3-1 for the Raptors (current streaks: Clippers L3, Raptors W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Fatigue: the Clippers and the Raptors played the night before (back-to-back). Reported injuries: Kawhi Leonard (Raptors), Nate Bittle (Raptors), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (Clippers), Max Strus (Clippers), Brandon Ingram (Clippers) and Bradley Beal (Clippers)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Raptors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 108 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 220 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers and the Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. The Clippers will be without Yanic Konan Niederhauser or Max Strus (and 3 others). The Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard or Nate Bittle. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORLAC
Players to watch
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #922.0pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #55.5assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47.2reboundsClippers
Darius GarlandG · #1021.5pts / gameDarius GarlandG · #106.5assists
Rui HachimuraF · #286.0reboundsRecent form
TOR
129-125W
135-92W
112-102L
117-94W
129-99LAC
122-110W
121-96L
125-117L
108-101L103-87
TOR
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| TOR | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 1-3 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 109.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +5.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 46-36 (+2.8) | Last season | 42-40 (+1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Clippers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.