76ers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (2-2) host the Philadelphia 76ers (3-1) on Wednesday, October 28 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 114 – Pacers 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 0-1 at home and the 76ers are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-2 for the Pacers and 3-1 for the 76ers (current streaks: Pacers L1, 76ers L1).
The analysis Model
The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pacers 114 – 117 76ers, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.8 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIIND
Top performers
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #027pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2310assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2111reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4326pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #214assistsPascal SiakamF · #4311reboundsRecent form
PHIINDHead-to-head
PHI lead 1-0 this season.
PHI
Team comparison
| PHI | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 2-2 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 113.4 |
| 113.8 | Points allowed / game | 119.1 |
| +0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 2-2 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 19-63 (-8.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.