Hornets vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (3-1) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-1) on Wednesday, October 28 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 89 – Pistons 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 1-0 at home and the Hornets are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Pistons and 3-1 for the Hornets (current streaks: Pistons L1, Hornets W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 114 – 109 Hornets, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+6.5 vs +1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHADET
Top performers
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2431pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #175assistsBrandon MillerF · #2412reboundsPistons
Cade CunninghamG · #230pts / game
Ausar ThompsonG · #98assistsAusar ThompsonG · #99reboundsRecent form
CHADETHead-to-head
DET lead 1-0 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 113.0 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 109.0 |
| +1.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 60-22 (+8.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.