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Wizards vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 28

FinalRocket Arena · MNMT, NBA League Pass, DAZN CLE

Washington Wizards

2-3 · away

Final score

111-121

Projected: 112-124

Cleveland Cavaliers

3-1 · home

16% win WSHwin CLE 84%

FavoriteCLE

Projected margin12.7

Projected total236

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1) host the Washington Wizards (2-2) on Wednesday, October 28 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 111 – Cavaliers 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 2-0 at home and the Wizards are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Cavaliers and 2-2 for the Wizards (current streaks: Cavaliers W2, Wizards L1).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 124 – 112 Wizards, a margin of about 12.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (+2.7 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Cavaliers' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +2.7 / WSH -7.7 per game

+10.4

Home-court advantageCavaliers at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Cavaliers

+12.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+

58%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

19%

Wizards win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCLE

113.2

Points scored / game

119.5

122.3

Points allowed / game

116.3

48.0 %

Field goal %

46.8 %

28.5 %

3-point %

36.7 %

31.6

3-pointers attempted / game

37.5

83.1 %

Free throw %

79.3 %

40.0

Rebounds / game

47.0

25.8

Assists / game

26.3

7.4

Steals / game

8.8

5.6

Blocks / game

7.5

13.6

Turnovers / game

17.3

Top performers

Wizards

AJ DybantsaF · #419pts / game

Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1811assists

Anthony DavisF · #235rebounds

Cavaliers

Evan MobleyC · #424pts / game

Donovan MitchellG · #457assists

Evan MobleyC · #412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

WSH

No games played yet.

CLE

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 1-0 this season.

Team comparison

WSH		CLE
2-2	Record	2-1
113.2	Points scored / game	119.5
122.3	Points allowed / game	116.3
-7.7	Adjusted margin / game	+2.7
L1	Current streak	W2
2-2	Last 10 games	2-1
1-1 road	Home / road record	2-0 home
17-65 (-12.0)	Last season	52-30 (+4.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.