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Grizzlies vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, October 26

FinalDelta Center · NBA League Pass, DAZN MEM, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+

Memphis Grizzlies

4-0 · away

Final score

110-105

Projected: 120-117

Utah Jazz

1-3 · home

59% win MEMwin UTAH 41%

FavoriteMEM

Projected margin2.9

Projected total237

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (1-2) host the Memphis Grizzlies (3-0) on Monday, October 26 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 110 – Jazz 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 1-1 at home and the Grizzlies are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-2 for the Jazz and 3-0 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Jazz L1, Grizzlies W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 117 – 120 Grizzlies, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs -2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz

Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.3 / MEM -2.2 per game

-5.2

Home-court advantageJazz at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Jazz

-2.9

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+

15%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Grizzlies win by 10+

28%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMUTAH

115.5

Points scored / game

117.1

118.1

Points allowed / game

125.7

45.3 %

Field goal %

45.4 %

39.1 %

3-point %

33.9 %

37.8

3-pointers attempted / game

34.8

82.8 %

Free throw %

76.6 %

50.0

Rebounds / game

46.8

25.0

Assists / game

26.8

6.3

Steals / game

5.0

6.3

Blocks / game

6.4

15.5

Turnovers / game

17.0

Top performers

Grizzlies

Cedric CowardF · #2316pts / game

Ty JeromeG · #28assists

Cedric CowardF · #2311rebounds

Jazz

Keyonte GeorgeG · #326pts / game

Isaiah CollierG · #88assists

Ace BaileyG · #1910rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

MEM

No games played yet.

UTAH

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MEM lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MEM		UTAH
3-0	Record	1-2
115.5	Points scored / game	117.1
118.1	Points allowed / game	125.7
-2.2	Adjusted margin / game	-7.3
W3	Current streak	L1
3-0	Last 10 games	1-2
2-0 road	Home / road record	1-1 home
25-57 (-6.0)	Last season	22-60 (-8.4)
Yes	Played yesterday	Yes

Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.