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Jazz vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21

FinalFedExForum · NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, DAZN MEM

Utah Jazz

0-1 · away

Final score

103-123

Projected: 118-122

Memphis Grizzlies

1-0 · home

36% win UTAHwin MEM 64%

FavoriteMEM

Projected margin4.4

Projected total239

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies host the Utah Jazz on Wednesday, October 21 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 103 – Grizzlies 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 64% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 122 – 118 Jazz, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (120.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies

Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -5.1 / UTAH -7.2 per game

+2.1

Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Grizzlies

+4.4

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+

33%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

29%

Jazz win by 10+

13%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHMEM

117.6

Points scored / game

114.7

126.0

Points allowed / game

120.7

45.4 %

Field goal %

45.3 %

33.9 %

3-point %

39.1 %

34.8

3-pointers attempted / game

37.8

76.6 %

Free throw %

82.8 %

46.8

Rebounds / game

50.0

26.8

Assists / game

25.0

5.0

Steals / game

6.3

6.4

Blocks / game

6.3

17.0

Turnovers / game

15.5

Top performers

Jazz

Keyonte GeorgeG · #322pts / game

Keyonte GeorgeG · #35assists

Lauri MarkkanenF · #239rebounds

Grizzlies

Ty JeromeG · #245pts / game

Ty JeromeG · #26assists

Cameron BoozerF · #2711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

UTAH

No games played yet.

MEM

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MEM lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAH		MEM
0-1	Record	1-0
117.6	Points scored / game	114.7
126.0	Points allowed / game	120.7
-7.2	Adjusted margin / game	-5.1
–	Current streak	–
–	Last 10 games	–
–	Home / road record	–
22-60 (-8.4)	Last season	25-57 (-6.0)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.