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Bulls vs Celtics prediction NBA · Monday, October 26

FinalTD Garden · NBA League Pass
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-3 · away
Final score
99-134
Projected: 108-122
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
2-1 · home
14% win CHIwin BOS 86%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin13.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (1-1) host the Chicago Bulls (1-2) on Monday, October 26 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 99 – Celtics 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 86% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 1-0 at home and the Bulls are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Celtics and 1-2 for the Bulls (current streaks: Celtics W1, Bulls L1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 122 – 108 Bulls, a margin of about 13.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.4 vs -5.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.4 / CHI -5.8 per game
+11.2
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+13.5

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
61%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
18%
Bulls win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIBOS
116.0
Points scored / game
114.2
122.8
Points allowed / game
107.9
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
27.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.4
Assists / game
27.8
9.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.8
Blocks / game
3.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2420pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #34assists
Leonard MillerF · #119rebounds
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1128pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #06assists
Jayson TatumF · #07rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIBOS
1-2Record1-1
116.0Points scored / game114.2
122.8Points allowed / game107.9
-5.8Adjusted margin / game+5.4
L1Current streakW1
1-2Last 10 games1-1
1-1 roadHome / road record1-0 home
31-51 (-5.2)Last season56-26 (+7.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.