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Wizards vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, October 26

FinalSpectrum Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass
18% win WSHwin CHA 82%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin11.4
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (2-1) host the Washington Wizards (2-1) on Monday, October 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 103 – Hornets 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 1-1 at home and the Wizards are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Hornets and 2-1 for the Wizards (current streaks: Hornets W1, Wizards W1).

The analysis Model

The Hornets start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 121 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs -7.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.3 / WSH -7.8 per game
+9.1
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+11.4

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
54%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Wizards win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCHA
113.9
Points scored / game
113.2
123.1
Points allowed / game
111.7
48.0 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
28.5 %
3-point %
30.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
83.1 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
25.8
Assists / game
20.6
7.4
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.2
13.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Wizards
Anthony DavisF · #2329pts / game
Trae YoungG · #310assists
Anthony DavisF · #2310rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2439pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #175assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1417rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHCHA
2-1Record2-1
113.9Points scored / game113.2
123.1Points allowed / game111.7
-7.8Adjusted margin / game+1.3
W1Current streakW1
2-1Last 10 games2-1
1-0 roadHome / road record1-1 home
17-65 (-12.0)Last season44-38 (+4.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.