Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pistons vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, October 25

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBA League Pass
67% win DETwin PHI 33%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin5.5
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (3-0) host the Detroit Pistons (2-0) on Sunday, October 25 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 106 – 76ers 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 2-0 at home and the Pistons are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the 76ers and 2-0 for the Pistons (current streaks: 76ers W3, Pistons W2).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 111 – 117 Pistons, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs +7.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI +1.3 / DET +7.5 per game
-6.2
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
-5.5

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Pistons win by 10+
36%

Stat comparison Current season

DETPHI
118.7
Points scored / game
115.8
110.0
Points allowed / game
114.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
37.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
27.0
Assists / game
24.6
8.0
Steals / game
9.8
7.2
Blocks / game
5.6
15.6
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #226pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #28assists
John CollinsF · #2011rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #029pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #235assists
Adem BonaC · #3013rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETPHI
2-0Record3-0
118.7Points scored / game115.8
110.0Points allowed / game114.3
+7.5Adjusted margin / game+1.3
W2Current streakW3
2-0Last 10 games3-0
1-0 roadHome / road record2-0 home
60-22 (+8.2)Last season45-37 (-0.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.