Warriors vs Suns prediction NBA · Saturday, October 24
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (0-1) host the Golden State Warriors (0-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 122 – Suns 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Suns and 0-2 for the Warriors (current streaks: Suns L1, Warriors L2).
The analysis Model
The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 114 – 110 Warriors, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (113.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSPHX
Top performers
Warriors
Yaxel LendeborgF · #126pts / gameYaxel LendeborgF · #15assists
Graham IkeF10reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1543pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #129assists
Khaman MaluachC · #109reboundsRecent form
GSPHXHead-to-head
PHX lead 1-0 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| GS | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-1 |
| 113.5 | Points scored / game | 110.3 |
| 115.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.1 |
| -1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-2 | Last 10 games | 0-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 37-45 (-0.6) | Last season | 45-37 (+1.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.