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Wizards vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, October 24

FinalUnited Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
2-1 · away
Final score
124-120
Projected: 116-120
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-2 · home
35% win WSHwin CHI 65%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin4.9
Projected total236
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (1-1) host the Washington Wizards (1-1) on Saturday, October 24 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 124 – Bulls 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Bulls and 1-1 for the Wizards (current streaks: Bulls W1, Wizards L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bulls, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 120 – 116 Wizards, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls and the Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -6.0 / WSH -8.6 per game
+2.6
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+4.9

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Wizards win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCHI
113.2
Points scored / game
115.7
123.3
Points allowed / game
122.7
48.0 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
28.5 %
3-point %
27.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
83.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
25.8
Assists / game
24.4
7.4
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
13.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Wizards
Trae YoungG · #325pts / game
Trae YoungG · #39assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #914rebounds
Bulls
Caleb WilsonF · #830pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #310assists
Caleb WilsonF · #814rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHCHI
1-1Record1-1
113.2Points scored / game115.7
123.3Points allowed / game122.7
-8.6Adjusted margin / game-6.0
L1Current streakW1
1-1Last 10 games1-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
17-65 (-12.0)Last season31-51 (-5.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.