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Wizards vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, November 20

Fri, Nov 20 · 8:00 PM ETUnited Center · MNMT

Washington Wizards

2-3 · away

Projected score

116-119

Chicago Bulls

1-4 · home

39% win WSHwin CHI 61%

FavoriteCHI

Projected margin3.4

Projected total235

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (1-4) host the Washington Wizards (2-3) on Friday, November 20 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Bulls a 61% chance to win and projects a 116-119 score (Wizards – Bulls), about 235 total points. This season, the Bulls are 0-2 at home and the Wizards are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Bulls and 2-3 for the Wizards (current streaks: Bulls L3, Wizards L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Justin Champagnie (Wizards), Tristan Vukcevic (Wizards), Jamir Watkins (Wizards), Patrick Williams (Bulls) and Nic Claxton (Bulls). Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bulls, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 119 – 116 Wizards, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls will be without Patrick Williams or Nic Claxton. The Wizards will be without Justin Champagnie or Tristan Vukcevic (and 1 other).

The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls

Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -7.2 / WSH -7.7 per game

+0.6

Home-court advantageBulls at home

+2.3

InjuriesCHI: 2 out, 2 questionable · WSH: 3 out, 1 questionable

+0.6

Expected marginfor Bulls

+3.4

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+

30%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Wizards win by 10+

14%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCHI

113.1

Points scored / game

115.6

122.2

Points allowed / game

124.1

48.0 %

Field goal %

42.1 %

28.5 %

3-point %

27.6 %

31.6

3-pointers attempted / game

42.0

83.1 %

Free throw %

78.6 %

40.0

Rebounds / game

44.8

25.8

Assists / game

24.4

7.4

Steals / game

9.0

5.6

Blocks / game

4.8

13.6

Turnovers / game

17.8

Players to watch

Wizards

Anthony DavisF · #2321.8pts / game

Trae YoungG · #310.4assists

Anthony DavisF · #238.4rebounds

Bulls

Norman PowellG · #2421.6pts / game

Josh GiddeyG · #38.0assists

Jalen SmithF · #258.2rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

WSH

128-116L

112-102W

124-120L

110-103L

121-111

CHI

135-92W

132-125L

124-120L

134-99L

133-127

Head-to-head

WSH lead 1-0 this season.

Second opinion

Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.

Basketlog

WSH 39% · CHI 61%

ESPN BPI

WSH 54% · CHI 46%

⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.

Team comparison

WSH		CHI
2-3	Record	1-4
113.1	Points scored / game	115.6
122.2	Points allowed / game	124.1
-7.7	Adjusted margin / game	-7.2
L2	Current streak	L3
2-3	Last 10 games	1-4
1-2 road	Home / road record	0-2 home
17-65 (-12.0)	Last season	31-51 (-5.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Wizards

Justin Champagnie FOut

Tristan Vukcevic FOut

Jamir Watkins GOut

Tre Johnson GDay-To-Day

Injury report Bulls

Patrick Williams FOut

Nic Claxton COut

Jalen Smith FDay-To-Day

Tobe Awaka FDay-To-Day

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.