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Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, October 23

FinalChase Center · NBA League Pass
38% win MEMwin GS 62%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin3.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (0-1) host the Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) on Friday, October 23 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 111 – Warriors 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Warriors and 1-0 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Warriors L1, Grizzlies W1).

The analysis Model

The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 118 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS -1.9 / MEM -3.4 per game
+1.5
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+3.8

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMGS
115.3
Points scored / game
113.9
119.3
Points allowed / game
116.1
45.3 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
39.1 %
3-point %
36.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
82.8 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
43.8
25.0
Assists / game
25.6
6.3
Steals / game
9.6
6.3
Blocks / game
3.8
15.5
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Grizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #228pts / game
Cameron BoozerF · #276assists
Cameron BoozerF · #2713rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3024pts / game
Yaxel LendeborgF · #16assists
Yaxel LendeborgF · #113rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMGS
1-0Record0-1
115.3Points scored / game113.9
119.3Points allowed / game116.1
-3.4Adjusted margin / game-1.9
W1Current streakL1
1-0Last 10 games0-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
25-57 (-6.0)Last season37-45 (-0.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.