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Pelicans vs Jazz prediction NBA · Friday, October 23

FinalDelta Center · NBA League Pass, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
0-2 · away
Final score
119-120
Projected: 121-119
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
1-1 · home
56% win NOwin UTAH 44%
FavoriteNO
Projected margin1.9
Projected total239
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (0-1) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-1) on Friday, October 23 at 9:30 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 119 – Jazz 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Jazz and 0-1 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Jazz L1, Pelicans L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Jazz 119 – 121 Pelicans, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.9 vs -3.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pelicans' defense allows clearly fewer points (120.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.9 / NO -3.7 per game
-4.2
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-1.9

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pelicans win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

NOUTAH
115.9
Points scored / game
116.5
120.3
Points allowed / game
125.8
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
29.0 %
3-point %
33.9 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
83.6 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
23.5
Assists / game
26.8
12.3
Steals / game
5.0
4.8
Blocks / game
6.4
16.5
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #123pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56assists
Derik QueenC · #227rebounds
Jazz
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2024pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #310assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOUTAH
0-1Record0-1
115.9Points scored / game116.5
120.3Points allowed / game125.8
-3.7Adjusted margin / game-7.9
L1Current streakL1
0-1Last 10 games0-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
26-56 (-4.5)Last season22-60 (-8.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.