Hawks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Friday, October 23
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (1-0) host the Atlanta Hawks (1-0) on Friday, October 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 128 – Hornets 81. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for the Hornets and 1-0 for the Hawks (current streaks: Hornets W1, Hawks W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 118 – 113 Hawks, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLCHA
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #119pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #18assists
Dyson DanielsG · #59reboundsHornets
Naz ReidC · #017pts / game
Sion JamesG · #45assists
Moussa DiabateF · #148reboundsRecent form
ATLCHAHead-to-head
ATL lead 1-0 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 119.5 | Points scored / game | 115.5 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 110.6 |
| +2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-0 | Last 10 games | 1-0 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 46-36 (+2.4) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.