Bulls vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21
FinalScotiabank Arena · NBA League Pass
23% win CHIwin TOR 77%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin9.1
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors host the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday, October 21 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 92 – Raptors 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 77% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 121 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+2.4 vs -4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +2.4 / CHI -4.4 per game
+6.8
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+9.1
Scenarios
Raptors win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Bulls win by 10+
6%
Stat comparison Current season
CHITOR
116.3114.6
121.5111.8
42.1 %44.2 %
27.6 %30.4 %
42.034.5
78.6 %79.0 %
44.845.8
24.427.3
9.014.3
4.85.5
17.814.0
Top performers
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1417pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #36assists
Jalen SmithF · #258reboundsRaptors
Scottie BarnesF · #423pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #308reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHINo games played yet.
TORNo games played yet.
CHI
Team comparison
| CHI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 116.3 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 121.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.8 |
| -4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.4 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 31-51 (-5.2) | Last season | 46-36 (+2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bulls
No injuries reported.
Injury report Raptors
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.