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Hawks vs Magic prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 21

FinalKia Center · NBA League Pass
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
1-0 · away
Final score
132-125
Projected: 116-117
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
0-1 · home
47% win ATLwin ORL 53%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin0.8
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday, October 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 132 – Magic 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 53% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 117 – 116 Hawks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.5 / ATL +2.1 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+0.8

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLORL
118.5
Points scored / game
115.7
116.0
Points allowed / game
115.1
46.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
34.8 %
3-point %
31.4 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
72.8 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
41.3
32.2
Assists / game
26.0
10.2
Steals / game
7.8
3.6
Blocks / game
4.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #731pts / game
Onyeka OkongwuF · #177assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #114rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #535pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #510assists
Paolo BancheroF · #57rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLORL
1-0Record0-1
118.5Points scored / game115.7
116.0Points allowed / game115.1
+2.1Adjusted margin / game+0.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
46-36 (+2.4)Last season45-37 (+0.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.