Timberwolves vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, February 15
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (3-2) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2) on Monday, February 15 at 12:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Timberwolves a 62% chance to win and projects a 114-110 score (Timberwolves – Hornets), about 224 total points. This season, the Hornets are 2-1 at home and the Timberwolves are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Hornets and 3-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Hornets L1, Timberwolves L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves), Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves), Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets) and Kylan Boswell (Hornets). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 110 – 114 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINCHA
Players to watch
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #533.2pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16.6assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712.2reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsRecent form
MIN
131-106W
115-93W
117-94L
127-125 OTL
119-114CHA
110-103L
128-81W115-110W
110-103L
97-89
CHA
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| MIN | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-2 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 112.6 | Points allowed / game | 110.3 |
| +5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 49-33 (+3.4) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.