Trail Blazers vs Kings prediction NBA · Friday, November 13
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (0-4) host the Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) on Friday, November 13 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Trail Blazers a 83% chance to win and projects a 121-109 score (Trail Blazers – Kings), about 230 total points. This season, the Kings are 0-2 at home and the Trail Blazers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Kings and 3-0 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Kings L4, Trail Blazers W3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 20% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Robert Williams III (Trail Blazers), Chris Youngblood (Trail Blazers), Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers), Dylan Cardwell (Kings), Maxime Raynaud (Kings) and Keegan Murray (Kings)…. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Trail Blazers dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 109 – 121 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 11.7 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings will be without Dylan Cardwell or Maxime Raynaud (and 2 others). The Trail Blazers will be without Robert Williams III or Chris Youngblood (and 1 other). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-10.1 vs +3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Trail Blazers' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORSAC
Players to watch
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #822.3pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16.3assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239.3reboundsKings
Zach LaVineG · #827.2pts / game
Domantas SabonisF · #117.2assistsDomantas SabonisF · #1116.5reboundsRecent form
POR
110-98L
128-118W
124-83W128-120W
136-129SAC
126-97L
121-96L
128-120L
123-112L130-103Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| POR | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 0-4 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 110.2 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 122.1 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -10.1 |
| W3 | Current streak | L4 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 0-4 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 42-40 (-0.3) | Last season | 22-60 (-10.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.