Rockets vs Spurs prediction NBA · Friday, October 23
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (0-1) host the Houston Rockets (1-0) on Friday, October 23 at 9:30 PM ET at Moody Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 114 – Spurs 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 0-1 at home. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Spurs and 1-0 for the Rockets (current streaks: Spurs L1, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 116 – 113 Rockets, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUSA
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2829pts / gameAlperen SengunC · #287assists
Amen ThompsonG · #110reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #49assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #113reboundsRecent form
HOUSAHead-to-head
HOU lead 1-0 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 116.2 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 110.0 | Points allowed / game | 111.9 |
| +5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-0 | Last 10 games | 0-1 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 52-30 (+5.2) | Last season | 62-20 (+8.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.