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Knicks vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, October 23

FinalTD Garden · Prime Video
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
0-2 · away
Final score
103-107
Projected: 110-114
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
1-1 · home
40% win NYwin BOS 60%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin3.2
Projected total224
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (0-1) host the New York Knicks (0-1) on Friday, October 23 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 103 – Celtics 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Celtics and 0-1 for the Knicks (current streaks: Celtics L1, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Knicks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Celtics 114 – 110 Knicks, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.5 / NY +4.6 per game
+0.9
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+3.2

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

NYBOS
115.2
Points scored / game
114.7
109.8
Points allowed / game
108.2
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
35.9 %
3-point %
38.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
75.8 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
26.8
Assists / game
27.8
7.2
Steals / game
9.0
4.4
Blocks / game
3.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222pts / game
OG AnunobyF · #88assists
Josh HartG · #312rebounds
Celtics
Jayson TatumF · #036pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #07assists
Jayson TatumF · #09rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYBOS
0-1Record0-1
115.2Points scored / game114.7
109.8Points allowed / game108.2
+4.6Adjusted margin / game+5.5
L1Current streakL1
0-1Last 10 games0-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
53-29 (+6.3)Last season56-26 (+7.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.