Celtics vs Pistons prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 20
FinalLittle Caesars Arena · NBC
41% win BOSwin DET 59%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin2.7
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons host the Boston Celtics on Tuesday, October 20 at 3:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 113 – Pistons 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 59% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 114 – 111 Celtics, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +6.9 / BOS +6.5 per game
+0.4
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+2.7
Scenarios
Pistons win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
15%
Stat comparison Current season
BOSDET
114.9117.8
107.2109.6
46.5 %45.9 %
38.6 %37.9 %
41.536.4
76.0 %74.4 %
44.346.8
27.827.0
9.08.0
3.87.2
15.515.6
Top performers
Celtics
Paul GeorgeF · #1338pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #011assists
Jordan WalshG · #276reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #022pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #28assists
Ausar ThompsonG · #911reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOSNo games played yet.
DETNo games played yet.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 114.9 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 107.2 | Points allowed / game | 109.6 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.9 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 56-26 (+7.7) | Last season | 60-22 (+8.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
No injuries reported.
Injury report Pistons
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.