Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Raptors vs Knicks prediction NBA · Thursday, October 15

FinalMadison Square Garden
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
2-2 · away
Final score
120-122
Projected: 111-116
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
1-4 · home
34% win TORwin NY 66%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin5.3
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks host the Toronto Raptors on Thursday, October 15 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 120 – Knicks 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 66% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 116 – 111 Raptors, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.4 / TOR +2.4 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+5.3

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Raptors win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

TORNY
114.6
Points scored / game
116.5
111.8
Points allowed / game
110.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
30.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.0 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.3
Assists / game
26.8
14.3
Steals / game
7.2
5.5
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #423pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
RJ BarrettF · #98rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1120pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #329assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3215rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORNY
2-2Record1-4
114.6Points scored / game116.5
111.8Points allowed / game110.1
+2.4Adjusted margin / game+5.4
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
46-36 (+2.8)Last season53-29 (+6.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.