Knicks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, November 15
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (3-1) host the New York Knicks (2-3) on Sunday, November 15 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Raptors a 58% chance to win and projects a 111-113 score (Knicks – Raptors), about 224 total points. This season, the Raptors are 2-0 at home and the Knicks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Raptors and 2-3 for the Knicks (current streaks: Raptors W1, Knicks W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Jose Alvarado (Knicks), Kawhi Leonard (Raptors) and Nate Bittle (Raptors). Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
The Raptors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 113 – 111 Knicks, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard or Nate Bittle. The Knicks will be without Jose Alvarado. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYTOR
Players to watch
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125.8pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #137.0assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213.8reboundsRaptors
RJ BarrettF · #922.0pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #55.5assists
Scottie BarnesF · #47.2reboundsRecent form
NY
106-100L
107-103L
111-102W
111-97W
133-127TOR129-125W135-92W
112-102L
117-94W129-99Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
NY
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
⚠ The two models disagree: handle this game with caution.
Team comparison
| NY | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-1 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 115.4 |
| 110.0 | Points allowed / game | 109.5 |
| +3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-3 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 53-29 (+6.3) | Last season | 46-36 (+2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.