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Grizzlies vs Bulls prediction NBA · Friday, October 9

FinalUnited Center · NBA TV, DAZN MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
2-1 · away
Final score
104-100
Projected: 117-120
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-1 · home
41% win MEMwin CHI 59%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin3.0
Projected total237
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls host the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday, October 9 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 104 – Bulls 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 59% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 120 – 117 Grizzlies, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -4.4 / MEM -5.1 per game
+0.7
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+3.0

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMCHI
114.7
Points scored / game
116.3
120.7
Points allowed / game
121.5
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
39.1 %
3-point %
27.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
82.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
25.0
Assists / game
24.4
6.3
Steals / game
9.0
6.3
Blocks / game
4.8
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Grizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #216pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #24assists
Karim LopezF · #356rebounds
Bulls
Caleb WilsonF · #821pts / game
Dailyn SwainG · #54assists
Leonard MillerF · #1111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

2 meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

MEMCHI
2-1Record1-1
114.7Points scored / game116.3
120.7Points allowed / game121.5
-5.1Adjusted margin / game-4.4
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
25-57 (-6.0)Last season31-51 (-5.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.