Pacers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday, October 13 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 112 – Thunder 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 91% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 123 – 106 Pacers, a margin of about 17.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+9.5 vs -6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDOKC
Top performers
Pacers
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #024pts / game
Ivica ZubacC · #405assistsIvica ZubacC · #4013reboundsThunder
Jared McCainG · #320pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assists
Josh DixG · #217reboundsRecent form
INDOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| IND | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 112.4 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 120.4 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| -6.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 19-63 (-8.0) | Last season | 64-18 (+11.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.