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Trail Blazers vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 13

FinalGolden 1 Center · BlazerVision
64% win PORwin SAC 36%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin4.4
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings host the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday, October 13 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 110 – Kings 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 64% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 113 – 117 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-8.5 vs -0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -8.5 / POR -0.2 per game
-8.3
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
-4.4

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
33%

Stat comparison Current season

PORSAC
115.5
Points scored / game
111.0
115.8
Points allowed / game
121.0
51.1 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
38.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
70.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
41.5
30.7
Assists / game
22.8
8.3
Steals / game
6.8
2.7
Blocks / game
2.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #826pts / game
Ja MorantG · #16assists
Deni AvdijaF · #89rebounds
Kings
Jonathan MogboF · #2215pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #105assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #911rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORSAC
3-0Record0-4
115.5Points scored / game111.0
115.8Points allowed / game121.0
-0.2Adjusted margin / game-8.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
42-40 (-0.3)Last season22-60 (-10.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.