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Nets vs Wizards prediction NBA · Monday, October 12

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, DAZN (YES)
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
3-0 · away
Final score
131-122
Projected: 115-116
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
2-1 · home
48% win BKNwin WSH 52%
FavoriteWSH
Projected margin0.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards host the Brooklyn Nets on Monday, October 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 131 – Wizards 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Wizards a 52% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 116 – 115 Nets, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Wizards and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Wizards' offense (112.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -10.2 / BKN -8.5 per game
-1.7
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
+0.6

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nets win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNWSH
105.9
Points scored / game
112.9
115.9
Points allowed / game
124.9
42.9 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
28.5 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
76.6 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
40.0
24.0
Assists / game
25.8
10.0
Steals / game
7.4
4.0
Blocks / game
5.6
17.5
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722pts / game
Julius RandleF · #309assists
Moritz WagnerC · #135rebounds
Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1821pts / game
Trae YoungG · #311assists
Alex SarrC · #209rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

BKNWSH
3-0Record2-1
105.9Points scored / game112.9
115.9Points allowed / game124.9
-8.5Adjusted margin / game-10.2
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
20-62 (-10.0)Last season17-65 (-12.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.