Hornets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, October 16
FinalFedExForum · DAZN MEM
71% win CHAwin MEM 29%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin6.9
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Charlotte Hornets on Friday, October 16 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 98 – Grizzlies 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 71% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 112 – 119 Hornets, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-5.1 vs +4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -5.1 / CHA +4.1 per game
-9.2
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
-6.9
Scenarios
Grizzlies win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Hornets win by 10+
40%
Stat comparison Current season
CHAMEM
116.0114.7
111.2120.7
41.7 %45.3 %
30.6 %39.1 %
43.237.8
85.2 %82.8 %
47.450.0
20.625.0
6.86.3
5.26.3
19.015.5
Top performers
Hornets
Hannes SteinbachF · #2219pts / game
Christian AndersonG · #56assistsHannes SteinbachF · #2210reboundsGrizzlies
Cameron BoozerF · #2719pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #24assistsCameron BoozerF · #277reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHANo games played yet.
MEMNo games played yet.
MEM
Team comparison
| CHA | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 3-1 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 111.2 | Points allowed / game | 120.7 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.1 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 25-57 (-6.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
No injuries reported.
Injury report Grizzlies
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.