Bucks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Sunday, October 11
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets host the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday, October 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 90 – Hornets 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 82% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hornets dominate this matchup. The model projects Hornets 120 – 108 Bucks, a margin of about 11.7 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILCHA
Top performers
Bucks
Tyler HerroG · #1118pts / game
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #244assistsTyler HerroG · #117reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2418pts / game
Liam McNeeleyG · #335assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411reboundsRecent form
MILCHAHead-to-head
3 meetings scheduled this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| MIL | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 110.6 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.2 |
| -5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 32-50 (-6.2) | Last season | 44-38 (+4.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.