Celtics vs 76ers prediction NBA · Friday, October 16
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers host the Boston Celtics on Friday, October 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 125 – 76ers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 64% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects 76ers 111 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-0.2 vs +6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSPHI
Top performers
Celtics
Hugo GonzalezG · #2821pts / game
Hayden GrayG · #447assists
Gabe McGlothanF · #4113rebounds76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2127pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #237assistsJoel EmbiidC · #218reboundsRecent form
BOSPHIHead-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 1-3 |
| 114.9 | Points scored / game | 115.9 |
| 107.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.1 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.2 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 56-26 (+7.7) | Last season | 45-37 (-0.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.