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Hornets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 14

FinalTD Garden
35% win CHAwin BOS 65%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin4.7
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics host the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday, October 14 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 93 – Celtics 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 65% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Celtics 115 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.5 / CHA +4.1 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+4.7

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hornets win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

CHABOS
116.0
Points scored / game
114.9
111.2
Points allowed / game
107.2
41.7 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
30.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
85.2 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
44.3
20.6
Assists / game
27.8
6.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.2
Blocks / game
3.8
19.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2416pts / game
Sion JamesG · #44assists
Naz ReidC · #06rebounds
Celtics
Jayson TatumF · #019pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #1111assists
Jayson TatumF · #08rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHABOS
1-2Record3-0
116.0Points scored / game114.9
111.2Points allowed / game107.2
+4.1Adjusted margin / game+6.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
44-38 (+4.8)Last season56-26 (+7.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.