Hornets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 2
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (3-1) host the Charlotte Hornets (3-2) on Wednesday, December 2 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. The Basketlog model gives the Celtics a 81% chance to win and projects a 105-116 score (Hornets – Celtics), about 221 total points. This season, the Celtics are 3-0 at home and the Hornets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Celtics and 3-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Celtics W3, Hornets L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 22% of cases according to the model. Reported injuries: Kon Knueppel (Hornets), Coby White (Hornets), Grant Williams (Hornets), Kylan Boswell (Hornets) and Devin Carter (Celtics). Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 105 Hornets, a margin of about 10.9 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 221 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics will be without Devin Carter. The Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel or Coby White (and 2 others). Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+6.6 vs +1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHABOS
Players to watch
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2425.6pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #174.8assists
Moussa DiabateF · #149.4reboundsCeltics
Jayson TatumF · #028.0pts / gameJayson TatumF · #08.0assistsJayson TatumF · #06.2reboundsRecent form
CHA
110-103L
128-81W
115-110W
110-103L
97-89BOS
125-120 OTL121-113W
107-103W
134-99W125-124 OTHead-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
BOS
Second opinion
Our model compared with ESPN's public model (BPI). When they agree, the prediction is more solid.
✓ Both models pick the same favorite.
Team comparison
| CHA | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 116.1 |
| 110.3 | Points allowed / game | 108.3 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 44-38 (+4.8) | Last season | 56-26 (+7.7) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.