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Magic vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, October 11

FinalRocket Arena · ESPN, DAZN CLE
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
1-1 · away
Final score
105-119
Projected: 114-119
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
1-1 · home
34% win ORLwin CLE 66%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin5.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Orlando Magic on Sunday, October 11 at 6:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 105 – Cavaliers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 66% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 114 Magic, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.5 / ORL +0.5 per game
+2.9
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+5.2

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Magic win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCLE
115.7
Points scored / game
119.5
115.1
Points allowed / game
115.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
31.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
47.0
26.0
Assists / game
26.3
7.8
Steals / game
8.8
4.5
Blocks / game
7.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Magic
Tristan da SilvaF · #2317pts / game
Noah PendaF · #935assists
Paolo BancheroF · #57rebounds
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #124pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Evan MobleyC · #47rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

3 meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

ORLCLE
1-1Record1-1
115.7Points scored / game119.5
115.1Points allowed / game115.4
+0.5Adjusted margin / game+3.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
45-37 (+0.6)Last season52-30 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.