76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Saturday, October 10
FinalTD Garden · NBA TV
24% win PHIwin BOS 76%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin9.0
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Boston Celtics host the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday, October 10 at 8:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 106 – Celtics 144. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 76% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 118 – 109 76ers, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+6.5 vs -0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.5 / PHI -0.2 per game
+6.7
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+9.0
Scenarios
Celtics win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
76ers win by 10+
6%
Stat comparison Current season
PHIBOS
115.9114.9
116.1107.2
42.8 %46.5 %
32.6 %38.6 %
35.041.5
77.5 %76.0 %
42.244.3
24.627.8
9.89.0
5.63.8
12.615.5
Top performers
76ers
VJ EdgecombeG · #7719pts / game
Labaron Philon Jr.G · #007assists
Jabari WalkerF · #336reboundsCeltics
Payton PritchardG · #1125pts / game
Baylor ScheiermanG · #558assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8810reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHINo games played yet.
BOSNo games played yet.
Head-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| PHI | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 107.2 |
| -0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 45-37 (-0.2) | Last season | 56-26 (+7.7) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
No injuries reported.
Injury report Celtics
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.