Pelicans vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 6
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday, October 6 at 8:00 PM ET at BOK Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 116 – Thunder 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 89% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 123 – 108 Pelicans, a margin of about 15.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+9.5 vs -3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOOKC
Top performers
Pelicans
Bennedict MathurinG · #2413pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #56assists
Derik QueenC · #229reboundsThunder
Bennett StirtzG · #1415pts / gameBennett StirtzG · #146assists
Aday MaraC · #159reboundsRecent form
NOOKCHead-to-head
4 meetings scheduled this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 120.0 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| -3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 26-56 (-4.5) | Last season | 64-18 (+11.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.