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Knicks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, May 25

FinalRocket Arena · ESPN
52% win NYwin CLE 48%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (60-39) host the New York Knicks (65-31) on Monday, May 25 at 8:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 130 – Cavaliers 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 33-16 at home and the Knicks are 28-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Cavaliers and 10-0 for the Knicks (current streaks: Cavaliers L3, Knicks W10).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Cavaliers 114 – 115 Knicks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.3 / NY +6.4 per game
-3.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
-0.8

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

NYCLE
116.8
Points scored / game
118.1
109.2
Points allowed / game
114.2
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
35.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
75.8 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
47.0
26.8
Assists / game
26.3
7.2
Steals / game
8.8
4.4
Blocks / game
7.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3219pts / game
Josh HartG · #36assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4531pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #44assists
Evan MobleyC · #47rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYCLE
65-31Record60-39
116.8Points scored / game118.1
109.2Points allowed / game114.2
+6.4Adjusted margin / game+3.3
W10Current streakL3
10-0Last 10 games4-6
28-20 roadHome / road record33-16 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.