Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Cavaliers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Thursday, December 25

FinalMadison Square Garden · ABC, ESPN
38% win CLEwin NY 62%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.9
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (21-9) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-14) on Thursday, December 25 at 12:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 124 – Knicks 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 15-2 at home and the Cavaliers are 6-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Knicks L1, Cavaliers W2).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 119 – 115 Cavaliers, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.4 / CLE +3.8 per game
+1.6
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+3.9

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Cavaliers win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

CLENY
120.6
Points scored / game
118.9
116.1
Points allowed / game
112.6
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
35.9 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
26.3
Assists / game
26.8
8.8
Steals / game
7.2
7.5
Blocks / game
4.4
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4534pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #1010assists
Evan MobleyC · #49rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1134pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #139assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLENY
17-14Record21-9
120.6Points scored / game118.9
116.1Points allowed / game112.6
+3.8Adjusted margin / game+5.4
W2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games8-2
6-6 roadHome / road record15-2 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.