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Cavaliers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22

FinalMadison Square Garden · ESPN, DAZN (MSG)
57% win CLEwin NY 43%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin2.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday, October 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 111 – Knicks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 57% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Knicks 114 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.5 vs +8.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (121.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.5 / CLE +8.1 per game
-4.6
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
-2.3

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

CLENY
121.9
Points scored / game
115.8
112.4
Points allowed / game
111.7
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
35.9 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
26.3
Assists / game
26.8
8.8
Steals / game
7.2
7.5
Blocks / game
4.4
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4531pts / game
Lonzo BallG · #26assists
Evan MobleyC · #48rebounds
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #824pts / game
Mikal BridgesG · #256assists
OG AnunobyF · #814rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLENY
0-1Record1-0
121.9Points scored / game115.8
112.4Points allowed / game111.7
+8.1Adjusted margin / game+3.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
64-18 (+9.5)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.