Cavaliers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Thursday, May 21
At a glance
The New York Knicks (63-31) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (60-37) on Thursday, May 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 93 – Knicks 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 36-11 at home and the Cavaliers are 27-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Knicks W8, Cavaliers L1).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 117 – 112 Cavaliers, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLENY
Top performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4526pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #43assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110reboundsKnicks
Josh HartG · #326pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1114assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213reboundsRecent form
CLENY
CLE
Team comparison
| CLE | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 60-37 | Record | 63-31 |
| 118.5 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 114.2 | Points allowed / game | 109.4 |
| +3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W8 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 27-22 road | Home / road record | 36-11 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.