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Cavaliers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, May 19

FinalMadison Square Garden · ESPN
35% win CLEwin NY 65%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin4.8
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (62-31) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (60-36) on Tuesday, May 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 104 – Knicks 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 35-11 at home and the Cavaliers are 27-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Knicks and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Knicks W7, Cavaliers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Cavaliers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 117 – 112 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +6.3 / CLE +3.7 per game
+2.5
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+4.8

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Cavaliers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

CLENY
118.6
Points scored / game
116.8
114.2
Points allowed / game
109.5
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
35.9 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
26.3
Assists / game
26.8
8.8
Steals / game
7.2
7.5
Blocks / game
4.4
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4529pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #175assists
Evan MobleyC · #414rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1138pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #116assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLENY
60-36Record62-31
118.6Points scored / game116.8
114.2Points allowed / game109.5
+3.7Adjusted margin / game+6.3
W1Current streakW7
6-4Last 10 games8-2
27-21 roadHome / road record35-11 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.