Lakers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, May 1
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (54-33) host the Los Angeles Lakers (56-31) on Friday, May 1 at 9:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 98 – Rockets 78. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 31-12 at home and the Lakers are 26-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Lakers (current streaks: Rockets W2, Lakers L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 116 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALHOU
Top performers
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2328pts / gameLeBron JamesF · #238assists
Deandre AytonC · #816reboundsRockets
Amen ThompsonG · #118pts / gameAmen ThompsonG · #13assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1012reboundsRecent form
LALHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| LAL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 56-31 | Record | 54-33 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 113.7 | Points allowed / game | 109.6 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 26-17 road | Home / road record | 31-12 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.