Lakers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (41-26) host the Los Angeles Lakers (43-25) on Wednesday, March 18 at 9:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 124 – Rockets 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 23-9 at home and the Lakers are 20-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 9-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Rockets L1, Lakers W6).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 116 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALHOU
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7740pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #7710assistsLuka DoncicG · #779reboundsRockets
Alperen SengunC · #2827pts / gameAlperen SengunC · #2810assists
Amen ThompsonG · #111reboundsRecent form
LALHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| LAL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-25 | Record | 41-26 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 109.8 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.5 |
| W6 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 20-13 road | Home / road record | 23-9 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.