Lakers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Monday, March 16
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (41-25) host the Los Angeles Lakers (42-25) on Monday, March 16 at 9:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 100 – Rockets 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 23-8 at home and the Lakers are 19-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 8-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Rockets W1, Lakers W5).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 116 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALHOU
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7736pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #235assists
Deandre AytonC · #811reboundsRockets
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1022pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #15assistsAmen ThompsonG · #112reboundsRecent form
LALHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| LAL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-25 | Record | 41-25 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 114.2 |
| 114.8 | Points allowed / game | 109.9 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.6 |
| W5 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 19-13 road | Home / road record | 23-8 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.