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Rockets vs Lakers prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 29

Finalcrypto.com Arena · ESPN
52% win HOUwin LAL 48%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin0.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (56-30) host the Houston Rockets (53-33) on Wednesday, April 29 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 99 – Lakers 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 30-13 at home and the Rockets are 22-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Lakers L1, Rockets W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 113 – 114 Rockets, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.4 / HOU +4.2 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-0.5

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

HOULAL
114.6
Points scored / game
115.5
109.7
Points allowed / game
113.8
51.7 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
40.4 %
3-point %
39.2 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
84.7 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
10.2
Steals / game
10.8
6.0
Blocks / game
5.8
15.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Rockets
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1022pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #288assists
Alperen SengunC · #289rebounds
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2325pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #237assists
Deandre AytonC · #817rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOULAL
53-33Record56-30
114.6Points scored / game115.5
109.7Points allowed / game113.8
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+1.4
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
22-21 roadHome / road record30-13 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.